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How the Incoming Trump Administration Could Affect Your Business

December 30, 2024

The incoming Trump administration promises significant changes that may impact your business in 2025 and beyond. From aggressive tariffs and immigration policies to tax cuts and deregulation, understanding what's ahead can help you position your business strategically.

Tax Changes and Financial Impact

The incoming administration has announced several major tax initiatives that could affect your bottom line. Trump has indicated plans to lower the corporate tax rate from 21% to 15% for businesses that manufacture domestically. This would create significant savings for companies that keep production in the US. However, it comes with an important caveat - businesses that offshore operations would not qualify for this reduced rate.


Other tax proposals include eliminating taxes on tips and overtime pay. While this could benefit service industry businesses by reducing wage pressure and making recruiting easier, economists warn it could lead to unintended consequences, such as businesses shifting more compensation to tips to reduce costs.

Another proposal would involve rolling back several federal support programs, including eliminating SBA direct lending programs and cutting innovation and entrepreneurial development initiatives. The result could make accessing capital more challenging for small businesses, particularly during economic downturns or natural disasters.


Tariffs, Trade and the Supply Chain

As widely reported, one of Trump's signature policies involves implementing aggressive tariffs, particularly on Chinese goods. Businesses that rely on imported materials or products may face higher costs and supply chain disruptions if that happens. Accordingly, companies may need to identify new domestic suppliers or restructure their international operations entirely.


While these policies aim to boost American manufacturing, the transition period could create significant challenges for businesses that currently depend on global supply chains. Some companies may find new opportunities in domestic manufacturing, but others will need to carefully navigate the changing trade landscape to maintain their competitiveness.


Regulatory Environment

Trump has historically favored deregulation, and businesses can expect this trend to continue. The administration is likely to roll back Biden-era environmental regulations, reduce oversight of workplace policies, and implement more business-friendly interpretations of existing regulations. Fewer restrictions may be placed on mergers and acquisitions, and compliance requirements could be simplified across various sectors.


However, this deregulation may primarily benefit larger corporations, which could create a more challenging competitive environment for small and medium-sized businesses. The impact will likely vary significantly by industry and company size.


Immigration and Labor Market Impact

The administration has been transparent about its plans to implement strict immigration policies, which could significantly impact industries traditionally relying on immigrant labor. Sectors such as agriculture, construction, hospitality, food service, and healthcare may face particular challenges as the labor pool potentially shrinks.


Beyond the immediate workforce implications, employers can expect more rigorous enforcement of immigration laws. Enforcement will likely include increased workplace audits and stricter penalties for employing undocumented workers. Businesses in affected industries should prepare for potential labor shortages and increased wage pressure as they adapt to the new environment.


What This Means for Your Business

Businesses should be proactive to navigate these changes successfully. For instance, consider reviewing your supply chain now for potential tariff exposure and identify domestic alternatives where possible. It's also wise to audit your immigration compliance procedures and documentation before enforcement increases.


You may need to evaluate your tax structure to maximize potential benefits from new policies, especially if you're involved in domestic manufacturing. If your business operates in industries traditionally relying on immigrant labor, now is the time to assess your workforce strategy and consider alternative approaches.


Regulatory compliance programs also deserve a fresh look. While federal oversight may decrease, remember that state and local regulations may continue moving in the opposite direction, particularly in traditionally Democratic states. Despite federal deregulation, you must maintain robust compliance programs if your business operates across multiple jurisdictions.


Remember that changes will take time; some may face legal challenges or require congressional approval. The key is developing flexible strategies that can adapt as policies evolve. If you need support with this, give our office a call today.

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